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FORESIGHT Issue 62
$45.00
Description
2021:Q3
Special Feature
A Better Crystal Ball: The Right Way to Think About the Future by J. Peter Scoblic and Philip E. Tetlock
In “A Better Crystal Ball,” Scoblic and Tetlock make a compelling case that current U.S. policy planning, particularly with respect to national security, is famously ineffective while at the same time being unreasonably expensive – the worst of both worlds. Knowing that what Scoblic and Tetlock were recommending would send up a chorus from forecasters far and wide, we put together this special section to include commentaries from a number of notable experts:
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- Scenarios and Probabilities: Incompatible or Complementary? by Paul Goodwin
- Risk versus Uncertainty by Steve Morlidge
- Scenarios with Probabilities for Financial Forecasting by Roy Batchelor
- Probabilistic Scenarios in Demand and Supply Planning by Stefan de Kok
- Uncertainty Is the Human Condition by Mike Tremblay
- Near-Term Questions for Long-Term Uncertainties by Robert Fildes
Articles
- Forecasting Demand during COVID — The Case of Wayfair by Alexei Alexandrov, Philip Brooks, I-Chen Lee and George Monokroussos
- Strategy in Uncertain Times: Lenses to Approach Decision Making, Forecasting, and Planning by Chris Turner
- Book Review by Stephan Kolassa
Resurrecting Retail: The Future of Business in a Post-Pandemic World by Doug Stephens
