Nassim Nicholas Taleb1,2 1 Universa Investments, USA 2 Tandon School of Engineering, New York University, New York, USA Correspondence to: Nassim Nicholas Taleb, email: nnt1@nyu.edu 11 June 2020 Link to the full opinion paper by Nassim N. Taleb, Yaneer [...]
Learning from the positions of Nassim N. Taleb and John P. Ioannidis in the COVID-19 debate 25 June 2020 The COVID-19 pandemic has brought a tremendous focus on forecasting as a key component for informing populations and for steering decisions throughout the [...]
We are pleased to announce Virtual ISF 2020--Rio de Janeiro with LIVE keynote lectures, practitioner talks, panel-discussion, workshops, contributed sessions, forecasting summer school and much more. Important 2020 dates Abstract and invited session submission deadline: 31 July Abstract decision notification: 14 August [...]
The IIF holds an election every March for new Directors, replacing those whose term has expired. We are delighted to announce the new Directors elected to the IIF Board: Anastasios Panagiotelis, Monash University Shouyang Wang, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Doris [...]
[This is part of an IJF special section: Epidemics and forecasting with focus on COVID-19] Aleksandr Aravkin, IHME, University of Washington, Seattle Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic was declared on March 11, 2020. In order to help decision makers and hospitals, IHME launched its [...]
[IJF special section: Epidemics and forecasting with focus on COVID-19] Antonio García-Ferrer, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid This is a summary of a set of weekly reports (that I have been writing since 3/25/2020) about measuring and forecasting the effects of COVID-19 in [...]
[IJF special section: Epidemics and forecasting with focus on COVID-19] Jennifer L. Castle, Jurgen A. Doornik and David F. Hendry COVID-19 currently dominates the physical and economic well-being of individuals and societies globally. We have published real-time short-term forecasts for confirmed cases [...]
[IJF special section: Epidemics and forecasting with focus on COVID-19] Fotios Petropoulos, Spyros Makridakis and Neophytos Stylianou Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic presents humanity with a profound challenge, not confronted for more than 100 years, since the occurrence of the Spanish flu in1918. [...]
All the world's human population is affected by the current pandemic of COVID-19, its potential impact on health, as well as related measures e.g. confinement and social distancing, which have an impact on our economies and communities. In this situation, all of [...]
Every two years, the International Journal of Forecasting awards a prize to the best paper on energy forecasting. The prize is generously funded by Professor Tao Hong. This year, we will award the prize to a paper published in the IJF during the period 2017-2018. The prize will [...]