Long memory time series and short term forecasts
Pages 477-491
Abstract
This article studies the usefulness of low order ARMA models in the
prediction of long memory time series with fractionally differenced
ARFIMA(0,d,0) structure, -0.5
Keywords: Fractionally differenced ARFIMA model
, ARMA model
, Prediction horizon
, Predictability memory
, Consumer Price Index
, Inflation rate
FULL TEXT LINK
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(02)00060-2
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