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The Forecasting Process: Guiding Principles, Process Design, and Management of Change ($50 per item, $25 for subscribers*)
This guide explores the principles that define forecasting craftsmanship, and will propel you toward a better organizational forecasting process. You’ll receive guidelines on how to implement effective forecasting practices based on technical knowledge, research, and hard-won experience.
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Forecast Accuracy Measurement: Pitfalls to Avoid and Practices to Adopt ($75 per item, $37 for subscribers*)
Written by top forecasting practitioners, consultants and academics, this essential guide will reveal best practices, confirm the ones you’ve already implemented, and help you nip in the bud those practices that hamper your efforts to improve.
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How to Evaluate, Manage, and Improve Your Forecasting Process ($45 per item, $19 for subscribers*)
Setting up a forecasting process represents a significant upfront investment in time and tools, but is by no means the end of the journey. The challenges of creating meaningful metrics, the pressure to continually improve forecast accuracy, and of managing the process are ongoing and constant. This resource contains checklists and step-by-step guides, practical advice and cutting edge research to help you overcome the hurdles you face.

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Foresight Issues ($40 per issue)

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Issue 25, Spring 2012 Table of Contents
Issue 24, Winter 2012 Table of Contents
Issue 23, Fall 2011 Table of Contents
Issue 22, Summer 2011 Table of Contents
Issue 21, Spring 2011 Table of Contents
Issue 20, Winter 2011 Table of Contents
Issue 19, Fall 2010 Table of Contents
Issue 18, Summer 2010 Table of Contents
Issue 17, Spring 2010 Table of Contents
Issue 16, Winter 2010 Table of Contents
Issue 15, Fall 2009 Table of Contents
Issue 14, Summer 2009 Table of Contents
Issue 13, Spring 2009 Table of Contents
Issue 12, Winter 2009 Table of Contents
Issue 11, Fall 2008 Table of Contents
Issue 10, Summer 2008 Table of Contents
Issue 9, Spring 2008 Table of Contents
Issue 8, Fall 2007 Table of Contents
Issue 7, Summer 2007 Table of Contents
Issue 6, Spring 2007 Table of Contents
Issue 5, Fall 2006 Table of Contents
Issue 4, June 2006 Table of Contents
Issue 3, February 2006 Table of Contents
Issue 2, October 2005 Table of Contents
Issue 1, June 2005 Table of Contents

Foresight Special Feature Sections ($25 per section)

Click on the “Issue Bar” to open up the desired panel.

Issue 23: Corporate Prediction Markets: Pitfalls and Barriers
  • Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment”, Andreas Graefe
  • Corporate Prediction Markets: Pitfalls and Barriers, Robert Rieg and Ramona Schoder
Issue 19: The Boundaries of Statistical Forecasting
The Boundaries of Quantitative Forecasting Methods: Respecting the Limits of Determinism, Adam Gordon Commentaries:

  • In Some Ways the Situation is Even Worse, David Orrell
  • The View from a Quantitative Forecaster, Geoff Allen
  • The Limitations of Quant Models: Compared to What? Mark Little
Issue 18: Forecasting for the Supply Chain
  • Defining “Demand” for Demand Forecasting, Mike Gilliland
  • Choosing Levels of Aggregation for Supply Chain Forecasts, John Boylan
  • The Value of Forecast Information Sharing in the Supply Chain, Mohammad Ali and John Boylan
Issue 15: Forecast Process Design
  • Preview
  • The Alignment of People, Process, and Tools, Joe Smith
  • People, then Process, then Tools, But What if the People and Toolset are Frozen? Ian Watson-Jones
  • The Alignment of People, Process, and Tools: Commentary, Mark Moon
Issue 14: Rethinking the Ways We Forecast
  • Preview, Len Tashman (* Preview only, available free of charge)
  • A Systems Approach to Forecasting, Patrick McSharry and David Orrell
  • Commentary: Why Do We Need Complexification? Roy Batchelor
  • Commentary: Are We Ready for a New Approach? Paul Goodwin and Robert Fildes
  • Reply to Commentaries, Patrick McSharry and David Orrell
Issue 13: Assessing Forecastability
  • Preview, Len Tashman
  • Forecastability: Insights from Physics, Graphical Decomposition, and Information Theory, Peter Catt
  • Toward a More Precise Definition of Forecastability, John Boylan
  • How to Assess Forecastability, Stephan Kolassa
Issue 12: Forecast Process Improvement
  • The Forecasting Mantra: A Holistic Approach to Forecasting and Planning, Alec Finney and Martin Joseph
  • Sales Forecasting: Improving Cooperation Between the Demand People and the Supply People, Tom Wallace and Bob Stahl
  • Book reviews of : Sales & Operations Planning – Best Practices: Lessons Learned From Worldwide Companies, John Mello and Joseph McConnell
Issue 11: Benchmarking of Forecast Accuracy
  • Can We Obtain Valid Benchmarks from Published Surveys of Forecast Accuracy, Stephen Kolassa
  • Measuring Improvement in Forecast Accuracy: A Case Study, Robert Rieg
  • Commentary on Benchmarking, Teresa McCarthy, Donna Davis, Susan Golicic, and John Mentzer
  • Commentary on Benchmarking, Jim Hoover, /Foresight/ Software Editor
Issue 11: Forecast Process Improvement (Operational Forecasting)
  • Overcoming Challenges in Operational Forecasting Projects, Ian Watson-Jones
  • Commentaries on Overcoming Challenges in Operational Forecasting Projects, Patrick Wader and Mark Moon
Issue 9: Prediction Markets for Pharmaceuticals and Beyond
  • A Guide to Practical Adoption in the Pharmaceutical Industry, Carol Gebert
  • Defining Events and Motivating Participation, Andreas Graefe
  • A Primer on Prediction Markets, Joe Miles
Issue 8: Delphi and Prediction Markets
  • A Guide to Delphi, Gene Row
  • Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared, Kesten Green, J. Scott Armstrong, Andreas Graef
Issue 7-8: Cost of Forecast Error: New Perspectives
Issues
  • Assessing the Cost of Forecast Error – A Practical Example, Peter Catt (Issue 7)
  • Key Assumptions in Calculating the Cost of Forecast Error, John Boylan
  • Use of the Normal Distribution in Calculating the Cost of Forecast Error, Thomas Willemain
  • Supply Risk and Costing Challenges, Michael Smith
  • Lost Sales and Customer Service, Scott Roy
  • Reply to Cost of Forecast Error Commentaries, Peter Catt
Issue 6: Modeling Seasonality in Short Time Series
  • Minimum Sample Size Requirements For Seasonal Forecasting Models, Rob Hyndman and Andrey Kostenko
  • Forecasting Short Seasonal Time Series Using Aggregate and Analogous Series, Michael Leonard
  • Seasonality: Shrinkage Procedures For Small Samples, Dan Williams
  • Constant vs. Changing Seasonality, Philip Hans Franses
Issue 5: Should the Forecasting Process Eliminate Face-to-Face Meetings?
  • How to Make Better Forecasts and Decisions: Avoid Face-to-Face Meetings, J. Scott Armstrong
  • Commentary: Forecasting Meetings Are Really Not About Forecasting, Marcus O’Connor
  • Commentary: A Depersonalized Interactive Process is the Key, Joe Smith
  • Commentary: Business Objectives, Forecasters and Meetings, Jamilya Kasymova and Catalin Vieru
  • How Practitioners Can Use Evidence-Based Findings: Reply to Commentaries, J. Scott Armstrong
Issue 5: Forecasting with SAP
  • Introduction, Ulrich Küsters
  • The New SAP Forecasting and Replenishment Solution: Is it an Improvement Over mySAP ERP?, Norman Götz and Carsten Köhler
  • Forecasting for Worldwide Supply Chain Processes with SAP’s APO, Christoph Seeger
Issue 5: Forecast Model Building – The Practical Issues
  • To Include or Exclude an Explanatory Variable: Beware of Rules of Thumb, Peter Kennedy.
  • Commentary: Testing Multiple Periods Ahead May Be the Real Need, Roy Pearson
  • Reply to Peter Kennedy, William Bassin
Issue 4: Forecasting for Call Centers
  • Nano Forecasting: Forecasting Techniques for Short-Term Intervals, Jay Minnucci
  • Forecasting Call Flow in a Direct Marketing Environment, Peter Varisco
  • Forecasting Weekly Effects of Recurring Irregular Occurrences, Dan Rickwalder
  • Commentary on Call Center Forecasting, Tim Montgomery
Issue 4: Forecast-Accuracy Metrics for Inventory Control and Intermittent Demand
  • Measuring Forecast Accuracy: Omissions in Today’s Forecasting Engines and Demand-Planning Software, Jim Hoover
  • Forecast-Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demands: Look at the Entire Distribution of Demand, Tom Willemain
  • Accuracy and Accuracy-Implication Metrics for Intermittent Demand, John Boylan and Aris Syntetos
  • Another Look at Forecast-Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand, Rob J. Hyndman
Issue 3: The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008
  • The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008, by Alan J. Lichtman
  • Index Methods for Forecasting: An Application to the American Presidential Elections, by J. Scott Armstrong and Alfred Cuzan
Issue 3: Spotlight on Excel for Data Analysis and Forecasting
  • On The Use and Abuse of Microsoft Excel, Paul J. Fields
  • The Unreliability Of Excel’s Statistical Procedures, Bruce McCullough
  • Incorrect Nonlinear Trend Curves In Excel, Rick Hesse
Issue 2: The Organizational Politics of Forecasting
  • Six Steps to Overcome Bias, Elaine Deschamps
  • The Impact of Corporate Culture on Sales Forecasting, John E. Mello
  • How to Assess the Effect of Organizational Politics on the Efficiency of the Forecasting Process,
    Michael Gilliland
  • Commentaries by Donald Tynes and Emmet Jones
Issue 1: When and How Should Statistical Forecasts be Judgmentally Adjusted
  • Introduction, Nada Sanders
  • How to Integrate Management Judgment with Statistical Forecasts, Paul Goodwin
  • Judgmental Adjustment: A Challenge for Providers and Users of Forecasts, Dilek Önkal and M. Sinan Gönül
  • Relative Merits of Different Ways of Combining Judgment With Statistical Forecasts, Nigel Harvey
  • Commentaries by Anthony Lee, Astra-Zeneca and Lucy Kjolso, Brooks Sports


Foresight Articles ($12 per article)

Articles with an ‘*’ are Free of Charge. Simply click on the Free Download button.

Click on the “Issue Tab” to open up the desired panel.

  • Issue 25
  • Issue 24
  • Issue 23
  • Issue 22
  • Issue 21
  • Issue 20
  • Issue 19
  • Issue 18
  • Issue 17
  • Issue 16
  • Issue 15
  • Issue 14
  • Issue 13
  • Issue 12
  • Issue 11
  • Issue 10
  • Issue 9
  • Issue 8
  • Issue 7
  • Issue 6
  • Issue 5
  • Issue 4
  • Issue 3
  • Issue 2
  • Issue 1
Issue 25
1.   Note from the Editor, Spring 2012 Issue, Len Tashman FREE
2.   Book Review: Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow, Paul Goodwin FREE
3.   Guiding Principles for the Forecasting Support System, Robert Fildes and Paul Goodwin
4.   Our Best Worst Forecasting Mistakes, Joe Smith and Simon Clarke
5.   Good Patterns, Bad Patterns, Roy Batchelor

6.   Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor, Scott Armstrong
7.   Designing the Forecasting Process to Manage Bias, Rogelio Oliva and Noel Watson FREE
8.   Executive S&OP: Overcoming the “Catch-22” of Implementation, Robert Stahl and Joseph Shedlawski
9.   Forecasting for Fun Outside Your Cubicle, Roy Pearson FREE
Issue 24
1.   Note from the Editor, Winter 2012 Issue, Len Tashman FREE
1a.   A CEO’s Perspective on S&OP and Forecasting: An Interview with Phil Dolci FREE
2.   The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election, Andreas Graefe, Randy Jones, Scott Armstrong, Alfred Cuzan FREE
3.   Outrageous Global Forecasts, Daniel Altman FREE
4.   Stream Analytics For Forecasting, Patrick McSharry

5.   Forecasting Rounds of Golf, Scott Parrott, John Stamey, and Timothy Burcham
6.   Does a Presidential Candidate’s Campaign Affect the Election Outcome? Richard Nadeau and Michael Lewis-Beck
Issue 23
1.   Note from the Editor, Fall 2011 Issue, Len Tashman FREE
2.   High on Complexity, Low on Evidence: Are Advanced Forecasting Methods Always as Good as They Seem?, Paul Goodwin FREE
3.   The Senior Manager’s Monthly Forecasting Report, Alec Finney FREE
4.   A “Softer” Approach to the Measurement of Forecast Accuracy, John Boylan
5.   Percentage Errors Can Ruin Your Day (and Rolling the Dice Shows How), Stephan Kolassa and Roland Martin
6.   Book Review: Scenario Planning in Organizations by Tom Chermack and Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future by George Wright and George Cairns, Adam Gordon FREE
7.   Forecasting With Structural Models and VARs: Relative Advantages and the Client Connection, Dan Hamilton
Issue 22
1.   Note from the Editor, Summer 2011 Issue, Len Tashman FREE
2.   Using the International Futures Global Modeling System-(IFs) for Alternative Scenarios by the Numbers, Roy Pearson FREE
3.   Executive S&OP and The Cycle of Resolution: Resolving Conflict to Align Human Energy, Robert Stahl and Stewart Levine, JD
4.   Forecasting Tools: Have They Upgraded the Forecasting Process? Joe Smith and Simon Clarke
5.   Book Review: The World in 2050: Four Forces Shaping Civilization’s Northern Future by Laurence C. Smith, Ira Sohn FREE
6.   A Forecasting Support System for Temperature-Controlled Transport, Wilfried Despagne
Issue 21
1. Note from the Editor, Spring 2011 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error by Kathryn Schulz Book Review by Marcus O’Connor * FREE
3. Projecting Success: Don’t Forget the Base Rate by Paul Goodwin
4. Financial Forecasting: Accuracy versus Profitability by Roy Batchelor
5. Forecasting Exceptional Demand: Not the Same as Forecasting Ordinary Demand by Wilpen Gorr [Includes Forecaster in the Field: Wilpen Gorr]
6. Getting Your Forecasting and Planning Fundamentals Right: A Pharmaceutical Case Study by Alec Finney, Martin Joseph and Hannah Kurth
8. Predicting the Results of the 2010 Midterm Elections: Judgment, Econometrics, and Prediction Markets by Alfred Cuzan
10. Forecast Accuracy Measurement: Two Commentaries FREE
Issue 20
1.   Note from the Editor, Winter 2011 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor FREE
2.   Classification for Forecasting and Inventory, Aris Syntetos, John Boylan and Ruud Teunter
3.   Forecasting Future Technology, Roy Pearson
4.   Getting Your Forecasting and Planning Fundamentals Right, Alec Finney and Martin Joseph
5.   How S&OP Changes Corporate Culture: Results from Interviews with Seven Companies, John Mello and Bob Stahl
6.   Peter Kennedy: In Memoriam FREE
7.   Who Should Own the Business Forecasting Function? Joe Smith and Simon Clarke FREE
8.   David Orrell Book Review of This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff FREE
Issue 19
1. Note from the Editor, Fall 2010 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. Executive S&OP: Managing to Achieve Consensus, Bob Stahl
3. Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys? Andreas Graefe
4. U.S. Annual Energy Outlook 2010, Ira Sohn
5. Book Review: The Business Forecasting Deal: Exposing Myths, Eliminating, Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions by Mike Gilliland, Ulrich Kuesters [includes Forecaster in the Field-Mike Gilliland]* FREE
6. Hot New Research: The Holt-Winters Approach to Exponential Smoothing: 50 Years Old and Going Strong, Paul Goodwin * FREE
Issue 18
1. Note from the Editor, Summer 2010 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. Worst-Case Scenarios in Forecasting: How Bad Can Things Get? Roy Batchelor
3. The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2012, Allan Lichtman
4. Looking Under the Hood of That Trend, Roy Pearson * FREE
5. Book Review, The Next Hundred Million:America in 2050, Joel Kotkin * FREE
6. Letter to the Editor, Should You Report Forecast Error or Forecast Accuracy?, David Hawitt * FREE
Issue 17
1. Note from the Editor, Spring 2010 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. Prediction Markets for Forecasting Drug Development, Andraes Graefe
3. Special Feature: A DEFT Approach to Trend-Based Foresight, Adam Gordon
4. Software Review: Free Open-Source Forecasting Using R, Stephan Kolassa and Rob Hyndman
5. Forecast Process Design Part 3: Change Management and the Forecasting Challenge, Joe Smith
6. Hot New Research Column: Why Hindsight Can Damage Foresight, Paul Goodwin* FREE
7. Sales and Operations Planning Resolving a Family Feud: Market-Facing versus Lean Manufacturing Families, Robert Stahl and William Kerber* FREE
8. Forecaster in the Field, Adam Gordon, author of Future Savvy* FREE
9. Book Reviews, Carolyn Allmon* FREE
Issue 16
1. A Capsule of the Winter 2010 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor * FREE
2. Using Forecasting to Steer the Business: Six Principles, Steve Morlidge
3. A Baker’s Dozen Free Sources of Economic Forecasts, Roy Pearson * FREE
4. The Forecast Reliability Assurance Model, Joe Smith
5. Assessing Uncertainty in New-Products Forecasts, Nick Guthrie and Des Markland
6. Sales and Operations Planning (2 articles), Robert Stahl and Amy Mansfield
7. Forecaster in the Field, Steve Morelidge * FREE
Issue 15
1. Note from the Editor, Fall 2009 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. Can Managers’ Judgmental Forecasts Be Made Scientifically? Philip Franses
3. Case Study: Forecasting the Productivity of Professional Services, Tonya Boone, Ram Ganeshan, and Robert Hicks
4. Software Review: Using Excel to Forecast: A Review of Two Recent How-To Books, Rick Hesse
5. Book Review: Animal Spirits, reviewed by Roy Batchelor * FREE
6. S&OP Column: How Jarden Branded Consumables Made Forecasting Simpler & Better through Executive S&OP, Robert Stahl and Brad McCollum * FREE
7. Hot New Research Column: Taking Stock: Assessing the True Cost of Forecast Errors, Paul Goodwin *
Issue 14
1. Note from the Editor, Summer 2009 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. Spare Parts Forecasting: Case Study at HP, Jerry Shan, Julie Ward, Shelen Jain, Jose Beltran, Feridoun Amirjalayer, and Young-Wok Kim
3. How to Track Forecast Accuracy to Guide Forecast Process Improvement, Jim Hoover
4. Forecasting Intelligence Column: Free and Easy Access to Monthly Forecasts, Roy Pearson * FREE
5. Review of The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives, Peter Sephton * FREE
6. Sales and Operations Planning: Simpler, Better, and Needed More than Ever, Bob Stahl
7. Review of Sparklines: The Tom Thumb of Statistical Graphs, Tom Yokum
Issue 13
1. Note from the Editor, Spring 2009 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor* FREE
2. The Impact of Sales Forecast Game Playing on Supply Chains, John Mello
3. Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World, Ira Sohn
4. Forecasting Sharp Changes, Roy Batchelor * FREE
5. Book Review: Future Savvy, David Orrell * FREE
6. Forecaster in the Field: Rob Dhuyvetter * FREE
Issue 12
1. Note from the Editor, Winter 2009 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor * FREE
2. The World of Forecasting – Predicting Recessions: A Regression (Probit) Model Approach
3. Hot New Research Column – New Evidence on the Value of Combining Forecasts, Paul Goodwin * FREE
4. Forecast Accuracy Measurement: *

  • Percentage Error Metrics: What denominator?, Kesten Green and Len Tashman
  • Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote, Andreas Graefe, J. Scott Armstrong, Alfred Cuzan and Randall Jones
  • Forecasting Performance of Regression Models in the 2008 Presidential Election, Randall Jones and Alfred Cuzan
 FREE
Issue 11
1. Note from the Editor: The Fall 2008 Issue, Len Tashman * FREE
2. Software Review: Forecast Pro Unlimited, by Ulrich Küsters And Janko Thyson
3. Book Review: Super Crunchers by Ian Ayres, Roy Batchelor * FREE
4. The World of Forecasting, Randall Jones and Alfred Cuzan * FREE
5. Forecaster in the Field – Mohsen Hamoudia * FREE
Issue 10
1. Note from the Editor, Summer 2008 Issue, Len Tashman, Editor * FREE
2. Looking at Tomorrow Today – The What, Why and How of Futuring for Forecasters, Roy Pearson
3. Lessons Learned – Reflections from 25 Years as a Forecasting Consultant, Antonio Garcia-Ferrer
4. Life-Cycle Forecasting for New Products – The HP Approach to Forecasting Printer Demand, Jerry Shan, Matthew Reimann, and Fereydoon Safai
5. Forecasting U.S. Presidential Elections – A Brief Overview, Randall Jones and Alfred Cuzan
6. Book Review: David Orrell’s The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction,

Paul Fields *

 FREE
7. Forecast Accuracy Measurement: Should We Define Forecast Error as e=F-A or A-F? Kesten Green and Len Tashman * FREE
8. Foresight Archives: The Organizational Politics of Forecasting
9. HOT New Research Column: A Quick Tour of Tourism Forecasting, Paul Goodwin * FREE
Issue 9
1. Thomas H. Davenport and Jeanne G. Harris’s Competing on Analytics: The New Science of Winning, reviewed by Roy Batchelor
2. Hot New Research Column: Predicting the Demand for New Products, Paul Goodwin
3. The Value of Information Sharing in the Retail Supply Chain: Two Case Studies, Tonya Boone and Ram Ganeshan
4. Innovations in Sales Forecasting for Large-Scale Retailers, Bruce Andrews, James Bennett, Lindsey Howe, Brooks Newkirk, and Joseph Ogrodowczyk
5. Monte Carlo Simulation/Risk Analysis on a Spreadsheet: Review of Three Software Packages, Sam Sugiyama
6. “Been There, Done That”: Perils, Pitfalls, and Promises of Long-Term Projections, Ira Sohn
Issue 8
1. Good and Bad Judgment in Forecasting: Lessons from Four Companies, Robert Fildes and Paul Goodwin
2. How to Project Patient Persistency, Ka Lok Lee, Peter Fader, Bruce Hardie
3. The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008, Allan Lichtman
4. Bayesian Forecasting Methods for Short Time Series, Enrique de Alba, Manuel Mendoza
Issue 7
1. Assessing the Cost of Forecast Error – A Practical Example, Peter Catt
2. An Expanded Prediction-Realization Diagram for Assessing Forecast Errors, Roy Pearson
3. Use Scaled Errors Instead of Percentage Errors in Forecast Evaluations, Lauge Valentin
4. S&OP, Forecasting, and the Knowledge-Creating Company, John Mello and Terry Esper
5. Decision-Directed Forecasting for Major Disruptions: The Impact of 9/11 on Las Vegas Gaming Revenues, Stephen Custer and Don Miller
6. How to Get Good Forecasts from Bad Data, Ellen Bonnell
7. The Forecaster as Leader of the Forecasting Process, James Borneman
8. Forecasting Software: A Progress Report for the First Seven Years of the 21st Century, Jim Hoover
9. Supermarket Forecasting – Check Out Three New Approaches, Paul Goodwin
Issue 6
1. Confessions of a Pragmatic Forecaster, Chris Chatfield
2. Forecast Uncertainty and Monte Carlo Simulation, Sam Sugiyama
3. Advantages of the MAD/MEAN Ratio Over the MAPE, Stephan Kolassa and Wolfgang Schutz
4. Recent Studies on Forecasting Know-How, Training and Information Sharing, Paul Goodwin
5. Forecasting the 2006 Democratic Party Takeover of the U.S. House of Representatives, Carl Klarner and Stan Buchanan
Issue 5
1. Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts, Rogelio Oliva and Noel Watson
2. How to Predict a Movie’s Success at the Box Office, Ramesh Sharda and Dursun Delen
3. A Retrospective on Forecasting Midterm Elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, Randall Jones and Alfred Cuzan
Issue 4
1. Managing the Introduction of a Structured Forecast Process: Transformation Lessons from Coca-Cola Enterprises, Inc., Simon Clarke
2. Breaking Down Barriers to Forecast Process Improvement, Mark Moon
3. Tips for Forecasting Semi-New Products, Bill Tonetti
4. Lessons from Thomas Edison’s Technological and Social Forecasts, Steven Schnaars
5. Anirvan Banerji Reviews Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Issue 3
1. Roy Batchelor Reviews Dow 36,000: The New Strategy for Profiting from the Coming Rise in the Stock Market, James Glassman and Kevin Hassett
2. Increasing The Credibility Of Your Forecasts:7 Suggestions, Roy L. Pearson
3. Credit Scoring: The State Of The Art, Lyn C. Thomas
Issue 2
1. Managerial Judgment: Best as an Input to the Statistical Forecasting Process, Rob Dhuyvetter (J.R. Simplot Company)
2. My Life As Soothsayer: 25 Years of Forecasting at British Telecom, C. Mason
3. To Include or Not to Include an Explanatory Variable: That is the Question, William Bassin
4. A Primer on Forecasting with Neural Networks, Roy Batchelor
5. Book and Software Reviews:

  • Filling a Gap in the Demand Planning Spectrum: Jim Hoover reviews Demands Works Express 3.5
  • Paul Goodwin reviews Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment: How to Create a Supply Chain Advantage, Dirk Seifer
6. The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts, Green, Kesten and J. Scott Armstrong
Issue 1
1. The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy, J. Scott Armstrong
2. Intermittent and Lumpy Demand: A Forecasting Challenge, John Boylan
3. Case Study: Integrating Consumer Demand to Improve Shipments Forecasts, Charles Chase
4. Book and Software Reviews:

  • How to Evaluate the Forecasting Ability of Demand-Planning Software, Jim Hoover
  • Nada Sanders reviews Demand Management Best Practices, Colleen Crum and George Palmatier